Sir Keir Starmer has announced his resignation as Labour leader and Prime Minister, apparently unaware that British politics stopped being unpredictable around 1997. The move opens a leadership contest that will definitely not be won by someone everyone has already mentally prepared themselves for.

The timing is exquisite. After months of internal party chaos, collapsing poll numbers, and the kind of media coverage usually reserved for sinking ferries, Starmer has decided the best way forward is to leave. His statement managed to sound both defiant and defeated, which is technically an achievement in tone-deafness.

What’s remarkable is that this ‘shocking twist’ was visible from approximately three postcodes away. Labour MPs had been circling like seagulls at a seaside chippy for weeks. The betting markets had already crowned his successor before he finished his resignation speech. The BBC had pre-written the transition coverage.

So now we get the theatrical spectacle of a leadership race where every candidate will claim to represent ‘a fresh start’ while implementing the exact same policies, just with different PowerPoint templates. The winner will be announced as a surprise to absolutely no one, hailed as the voice of a new generation, and promptly face the same structural problems that sank the last guy.

This is the seasonal trend nobody asked for: the Unexpected Prime Minister, coming to a Westminster near you, right on schedule.